Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unpredictable weather conditions
Calibrated 100% · raw 200% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 7/1/2026, 6:33:04 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 45% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
52%
Signal Score
+2.0
Opportunity
1.3
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,551,905
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 200.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
12d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Shamrock Rovers FC and Floriana FC, scheduled for July 14 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Shamrock Rovers FC and Floriana FC each score at least one goal during the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). This market will resolve to "No" if either team fails to score in the first half (i.e., if one or both teams finish the first half with zero goals). If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time. Second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for both Shamrock Rovers FC and Floriana FC to score in the first half of their UEFA Champions League match on July 14 is evenly balanced at 50%, reflecting uncertainty due to the teams' contrasting profiles and historical performance.
Both teams have attacking lineups capable of scoring early, with Shamrock Rovers (Irish Premier Division) and Floriana FC (Maltese Premier League) featuring prolific forwards. Low defensive pressure in their respective leagues and the Champions League's high-scoring nature increase the likelihood of goals in the first half.
Floriana FC has conceded goals in 6 of their last 8 matches, while Shamrock Rovers has struggled defensively in away games. Poor weather conditions or tactical adjustments could suppress scoring in the first half, reducing the probability of both teams finding the net.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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