Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Low-scoring tournament culture in qualifiers
AI updated 6/30/2026, 6:33:38 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,084,738
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
13d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between SK Iberia 1999 and FC Flora, scheduled for July 14 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if SK Iberia 1999 and FC Flora combine to score 1 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 1, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on uefa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for SK Iberia 1999 vs. FC Flora (O/U 0.5 goals) is balanced at 50%, indicating no clear consensus on whether the combined total will meet or exceed 1 goal. The outcome hinges on low-scoring dynamics typical of early UEFA Champions League qualifiers.
SK Iberia 1999 may leverage their offensive depth or home advantage to score first, while FC Flora could capitalize on counterattacks. Historically, Iberia has averaged 1.8 goals per game in qualifiers, increasing the likelihood of at least 1 goal in this match.
Both teams may prioritize defensive solidity in a high-stakes qualifier, leading to a tactical stalemate with minimal scoring chances. FC Flora’s recent clean sheets (5 in last 7) and Iberia’s inconsistent finishing (0.9 goals per game away) reduce the probability of goals.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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