Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Postponement or cancellation due to unforeseen events (e.g., COVID-19 protocols)
AI updated 6/30/2026, 6:32:49 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,084,408
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
13d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Rīga FC and Ararat-Armenia FA, scheduled for July 14 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Rīga FC and Ararat-Armenia FA combine to score 4 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 4, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on uefa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Rīga FC vs. Ararat-Armenia FA Over/Under 3.5 goals is evenly split at 50%, reflecting high uncertainty in this low-scoring UEFA Champions League qualifier. Historical data and team strengths suggest a defensive battle, but early-season unpredictability in knockout ties adds risk.
Rīga FC and Ararat-Armenia FA may exceed expectations due to attacking talent or tactical adjustments, leading to a high-scoring game (4+ goals). Ararat-Armenia’s recent form includes multiple 3-goal games, while Rīga FC has shown resilience in close matches, creating potential for an exciting encounter.
Both teams have struggled to score in recent matches, with Ararat-Armenia averaging under 2 goals per game in their last 5 and Rīga FC conceding frequently. Poor weather conditions or referee leniency could further suppress goal-scoring, favoring the Under outcome.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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