Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Unpredictable match conditions (e.g., weather, referee decisions)
AI updated 6/30/2026, 6:32:54 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,086,118
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
13d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Rīga FC and Ararat-Armenia FA, scheduled for July 14 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Rīga FC score 3 or more goals within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If Rīga FC score less than 3 goals within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Under". This market is based solely on Rīga FC's score, not the combined score of both teams. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Rīga FC's goals in their UEFA Champions League match against Ararat-Armenia FA is evenly split, with a 50% probability for either outcome (Over/Under 2.5 goals). The neutrality reflects the lack of clear dominance in historical performance or recent form between the two teams.
Rīga FC could exceed 2.5 goals due to their offensive capabilities in recent matches, particularly if Ararat-Armenia FA's defense remains vulnerable to counterattacks or set-pieces. A strong home advantage and tactical flexibility may favor Rīga FC's scoring potential.
Rīga FC may struggle to score 3+ goals, given Ararat-Armenia FA's defensive solidity in prior encounters or if Rīga FC's key attacking players are unavailable due to injury or suspension. A low-scoring tactical battle could result in fewer than 3 goals.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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