Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Postponement or cancellation of the match (50-50 resolution)
AI updated 6/30/2026, 6:33:10 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,084,063
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
13d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Rīga FC and Ararat-Armenia FA, scheduled for July 14 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Rīga FC and Ararat-Armenia FA each score at least one goal during the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if either team fails to score in the second half (i.e., if one or both teams finish the second half with zero goals). If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for 'Both Teams to Score in Second Half' between Rīga FC and Ararat-Armenia FA stands at 50%, indicating balanced expectations of scoring in the second half. The outcome hinges on second-half offensive performance, excluding first-half or extra-time goals.
Both teams may prioritize attacking in the second half, especially if the first half was low-scoring or tactical. Rīga FC’s home advantage and Ararat-Armenia’s away resilience could lead to mutual scoring opportunities, particularly if substitutions or tactical shifts favor offensive play.
Either team may struggle to score in the second half due to defensive solidity, fatigue, or tactical discipline. Rīga FC’s recent form (if defensive) or Ararat-Armenia’s counterattacking style could suppress goals, resulting in one or both teams failing to score.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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