Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_postponement_or_cancellation
AI updated 7/1/2026, 6:45:42 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 45% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,551,905
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
12d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming game, scheduled for July 14, 2026 If FK Borac Banja Luka wins within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for FK Borac Banja Luka leading at halftime has an even 50% probability, reflecting balanced expectations for the team's performance in the first 45 minutes of the scheduled July 14, 2026 game. The resolution hinges solely on the team's performance in the initial half, with no consideration for the full match outcome.
FK Borac Banja Luka is likely to lead at halftime due to strong home advantage, recent form, or tactical superiority, especially if their opponent is perceived as weaker or out of form. A dominant first-half performance by key players, such as the striker or midfield, could drive this outcome.
FK Borac Banja Luka may trail at halftime due to fatigue, poor recent performances, or facing a stronger opponent with superior tactical execution. External factors like weather conditions or referee decisions could also negatively impact their early performance.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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