Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unexpected_red_cards
AI updated 7/1/2026, 6:32:49 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 45% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,552,295
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
12d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Larne FC and Tre Fiori FC, scheduled for July 14 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Larne FC and Tre Fiori FC combine to score 2 or more goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the combined second-half total is less than 2 goals, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Larne FC vs. Tre Fiori FC second-half over/under 1.5 goals is evenly split, indicating no clear consensus on the likelihood of 2+ goals being scored in the second half. The 50% probability suggests balanced expectations between offensive and defensive outcomes.
A bullish outlook anticipates a high-scoring second half due to Tre Fiori FC's historical offensive tendencies and Larne FC's vulnerability in defensive transitions. Potential set-piece opportunities or counterattacks could push the combined total over 1.5 goals.
A bearish scenario highlights both teams' defensive records and the likelihood of a tactical, low-scoring match. Larne FC's recent form and Tre Fiori FC's away struggles could suppress goal-scoring, favoring an under 1.5 outcome.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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