Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: postponement_or_cancellation
AI updated 7/1/2026, 6:16:27 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 45% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,552,295
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
12d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Larne FC and Tre Fiori FC, scheduled for July 14, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Larne FC" if Larne FC score more goals than Tre Fiori FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Larne FC and Tre Fiori FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Tre Fiori FC" if Tre Fiori FC score more goals than Larne FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Tre Fiori FC to win the second half of their UEFA Champions League match against Larne FC on July 14, 2026, is evenly split at 50.00%, reflecting balanced expectations between the two teams' second-half performance.
Tre Fiori FC could capitalize on potential Larne FC fatigue or tactical adjustments in the second half, leveraging historical data where underdogs have outperformed expectations in similar knockout-stage matches.
Larne FC's stronger first-half performance or superior second-half fitness may dominate, as teams with recent form and higher UEFA coefficients often perform better in critical second halves.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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