Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injuries to key players pre-match
AI updated 6/30/2026, 6:34:10 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,085,093
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
13d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for July 14 at 11:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Kuopion PS" if Kuopion PS win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "FK Vardar Skopje". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on uefa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market reflects a 50% probability that Kuopion PS will win by 3+ goals in their UEFA Champions League match against FK Vardar Skopje on July 14. The even odds suggest balanced expectations between the teams' offensive capabilities and defensive vulnerabilities.
Kuopion PS may overcome the spread if they exploit FK Vardar Skopje's defensive weaknesses, particularly in counterattacks, given Kuopion PS's recent high-scoring form in qualifying rounds. A strong home advantage and tactical flexibility could amplify their goal differential.
FK Vardar Skopje's resilience in tight matches and Kuopion PS's potential fatigue from prior fixtures may prevent a 3-goal margin. Additionally, adverse weather or referee decisions could disrupt Kuopion PS's offensive rhythm, favoring a narrower result.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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