Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Postponement or cancellation due to unforeseen circumstances
AI updated 6/30/2026, 6:34:25 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,084,758
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
13d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Kuopion PS and FK Vardar Skopje, scheduled for July 14 at 11:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Kuopion PS and FK Vardar Skopje combine to score 2 or more goals in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). If the combined first-half total is less than 2 goals, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time. Second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Kuopion PS vs. FK Vardar Skopje 1st Half O/U 1.5 is evenly split at 50%, indicating no clear consensus on whether the combined first-half goals will exceed 1.5. The neutral probability reflects balanced expectations due to limited recent performance data and the unpredictability of early-season UEFA Champions League matches.
Kuopion PS and FK Vardar Skopje may combine for 2+ goals in the first half due to high attacking potential in both teams, particularly if either side starts aggressively. Kuopion PS, as the home team, could leverage home advantage to create early scoring opportunities, while FK Vardar Skopje might capitalize on counterattacks if Kuopion PS commits defenders forward.
The market could resolve to 'Under' if either team prioritizes defensive solidity, resulting in a low-scoring first half. Poor weather conditions, tactical conservatism, or a lack of early rhythm could suppress goal-scoring, especially in a high-stakes UEFA Champions League opener where teams may err on the side of caution.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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