Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: postponement_or_cancellation_of_match
Calibrated 100% · raw 200% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 7/1/2026, 6:15:41 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 45% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
52%
Signal Score
+2.0
Opportunity
1.5
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,552,385
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 200.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
12d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between ETO FC and KF Víkingur, scheduled for July 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the ETO FC vs. KF Víkingur match originally scheduled for July 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for a 0-0 draw between ETO FC and KF Víkingur in their UEFA Champions League match on July 14, 2026, stands at 50.00%, indicating a balanced expectation with no clear favorite for a scoreless outcome.
A bullish outlook for the 0-0 outcome could stem from both teams' defensive solidity, recent form favoring low-scoring games, or tactical setups prioritizing defensive stability over attacking play, especially in high-stakes matches like Champions League qualifiers.
A bearish perspective might highlight both teams' offensive capabilities, historical trends of scoring in similar fixtures, or external factors like weather conditions or referee tendencies that could favor a higher-scoring game, reducing the likelihood of a 0-0 draw.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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