Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: late_goal_scoring_trends
AI updated 6/30/2026, 6:30:40 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,085,093
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
13d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for July 14 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FK Kauno Žalgiris" if FK Kauno Žalgiris win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "FC Drita". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on uefa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The UEFA Champions League match between FK Kauno Žalgiris and FC Drita has a 50% probability of FK Kauno Žalgiris winning by 2 or more goals, as per the prediction market. The outcome hinges on the goal margin rather than a simple win.
FK Kauno Žalgiris could secure a dominant 2+ goal victory if they leverage home advantage, strong offensive performance, or FC Drita's defensive vulnerabilities. Historical form or tactical mismatches may favor Kauno Žalgiris, increasing confidence in a bullish outcome.
FC Drita may prevent a 2+ goal loss through disciplined defending, tactical counterattacks, or Kauno Žalgiris' underperformance. A narrow win or draw would resolve the market in Drita's favor, defying the bullish sentiment.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
No comments yet.