Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: postponement_or_cancellation_risk
AI updated 6/30/2026, 6:30:55 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,084,738
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
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MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
13d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between FC Drita and FK Kauno Žalgiris, scheduled for July 14 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if FC Drita and FK Kauno Žalgiris combine to score 3 or more goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the combined second-half total is less than 3 goals, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for FC Drita vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris second half Over/Under 2.5 goals is evenly split, indicating no clear consensus on the likelihood of 3+ goals being scored in the second half. The neutral probability suggests balanced expectations between offensive and defensive scenarios.
FK Kauno Žalgiris, though historically weaker, may exploit FC Drita's potential fatigue or tactical adjustments in the second half, leading to a higher-scoring phase. Kauno Žalgiris' recent form shows occasional attacking bursts, while Drita's defensive vulnerabilities in late-game scenarios could contribute to 3+ goals.
Both teams have struggled to maintain high-scoring matches in the second half of recent fixtures, with defensive solidity likely to suppress goal totals. FC Drita's tactical discipline and Kauno Žalgiris' limited attacking depth may result in fewer than 3 goals, favoring the 'Under' outcome.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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