Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Macroeconomic volatility (Fed policy, recession fears)
Calibrated 100% · raw 250% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/29/2026, 6:00:18 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
72%
ORYN Consensus
69%
Signal Score
-2.5
Opportunity
1.8
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,469,098
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -250.0¢
Entry: 68-74
—
Resolution
9h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
6 points
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on June 29 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market indicates a 69% probability that Tesla (TSLA) will close above $380 on June 29. This reflects moderate bullish sentiment, driven by recent performance trends and sector momentum.
Tesla's stock could rise above $380 due to strong Q2 deliveries, AI-related growth optimism, and potential margin improvements. Regulatory tailwinds in key markets (e.g., China EV subsidies) may also support sentiment.
Downside risks include macroeconomic headwinds (high interest rates, inflation), production disruptions (e.g., supplier issues), or negative regulatory news (e.g., tariffs or policy changes). A broader tech sell-off could also pressure TSLA.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
No comments yet.
