Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: late_match_decisions
Calibrated 100% · raw 200% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/29/2026, 4:46:21 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
48%
Signal Score
-2.0
Opportunity
1.3
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,488,794
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -200.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
6d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming Allsvenskan game between IF Elfsborg and Hammarby IF, scheduled for July 5, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the IF Elfsborg vs. Hammarby IF match originally scheduled for July 5, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for IF Elfsborg 3-2 Hammarby IF shows a 50% probability, indicating a balanced outlook with no clear favorite. The match outcome is highly uncertain, influenced by team form, head-to-head history, and external factors like weather or officiating.
IF Elfsborg's attacking prowess and home advantage could drive them to a 3-2 victory, especially if Hammarby IF's defense remains vulnerable to counterattacks. A strong start by Elfsborg or early red cards for Hammarby would support this outcome.
Hammarby IF's resilience and recent form might secure a narrow win or a higher-scoring draw, making 3-2 an unlikely exact score. Defensive lapses by Elfsborg or a disciplined Hammarby performance could tilt the market toward other outcomes.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
No direct venue links for this market. ORYN exclusive markets are intelligence-only.
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