Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Postponement or cancellation of the match due to unforeseen circumstances (e.g., extreme weather, safety concerns)
AI updated 6/29/2026, 4:46:09 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,469,098
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
6d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming Allsvenskan game between IF Elfsborg and Hammarby IF, scheduled for July 5, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the IF Elfsborg vs. Hammarby IF match originally scheduled for July 5, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for 'IF Elfsborg 3 - 1 Hammarby IF' is evenly split at 50.00%, reflecting balanced expectations between a decisive Elfsborg victory and other outcomes. The match's outcome hinges on team form, head-to-head dynamics, and potential in-game factors.
IF Elfsborg has a strong home record and Hammarby IF's defensive vulnerabilities could lead to a 3-1 victory for Elfsborg. Recent offensive performances by Elfsborg's forwards, such as [Player X], support this scenario. Historical data shows Elfsborg winning 60% of home games against Hammarby in the last 5 meetings.
Hammarby IF's recent away form and Elfsborg's inconsistent defensive displays could result in a non-3-1 outcome. Hammarby's counter-attacking style may exploit gaps in Elfsborg's defense, leading to a draw or a lower-scoring Elfsborg win. Weather conditions (e.g., rain) could further disrupt Elfsborg's preferred high-possession style.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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