Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Macro-economic headwinds (e.g., US inflation data)
AI updated 7/1/2026, 10:00:29 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 44% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
99%
ORYN Consensus
98%
Signal Score
-0.1
Opportunity
0.1
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,569,173
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -10.0¢
Entry: 96-100
—
Resolution
4d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
11 points
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market overwhelmingly favors Solana (SOL) closing above $50 on July 6, 2024, with a 98.45% probability. This reflects strong market confidence driven by recent price momentum and technical factors.
Solana's recent price surge, driven by high demand for memecoins (e.g., BONK, WIF) and sustained network activity, supports a breakout above $50. Institutional adoption and ongoing ecosystem growth (e.g., Firedancer upgrade) further bolster optimism.
Regulatory uncertainty (e.g., SEC scrutiny of crypto exchanges) or a broader market downturn could trigger a sharp correction. Technical resistance near $50 and potential profit-taking after recent rallies pose downside risks.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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