Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Sudden macroeconomic shifts (e.g., U.S. Federal Reserve policy changes)
AI updated 6/28/2026, 11:30:56 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
98%
ORYN Consensus
98%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,091,724
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 95-100
—
Resolution
6d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
14 points
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Solana's price being above $20 on July 4 shows an overwhelming 97.80% probability of resolution as 'Yes'. This reflects strong bullish sentiment in the short term.
Solana's recent performance and high market confidence suggest strong upward momentum. Technical indicators and on-chain metrics (e.g., TVL, active addresses) support a price above $20. The AI-driven trading narrative may further amplify price movements.
Macro conditions (e.g., broader crypto market downturn, regulatory shocks) could suppress Solana's price. Unexpected network issues (e.g., outages, slashing events) or profit-taking by whales could lead to a last-minute dip below $20.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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