This market refers to the StarCraft II Semifinal 2 match between TY and Oliveira in the Douyu Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 28 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "TY" if TY win Map 3 against Oliveira. This market will resolve to "Oliveira" if Oliveira win Map 3 against TY. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 3 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 3. If Map 3 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/starcraft2/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/starcraft2/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Key risk: match_cancellation
AI updated 6/27/2026, 2:47:57 PM
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
This market refers to the StarCraft II Semifinal 2 match between TY and Oliveira in the Douyu Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 28 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "TY" if TY win Map 3 against Oliveira. This market will resolve to "Oliveira" if Oliveira win Map 3 against TY. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 3 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 3. If Map 3 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/starcraft2/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/starcraft2/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The market for the StarCraft II semifinal between TY and Oliveira (Map 3 winner) is evenly split at 50%, reflecting high uncertainty due to both players' comparable skill levels and recent form. The resolution hinges on the outcome of a single match, with no clear favorite based on available data.
TY is favored due to his historical dominance in StarCraft II tournaments and stronger recent performances in the Douyu Cup Playoffs, suggesting he has a slight edge in Map 3. If TY secures a decisive victory, his momentum could carry over to future matches, reinforcing his favorability in this market.
Oliveira presents a strong challenge given his consistent top-tier placements in recent tournaments and ability to adapt to high-pressure scenarios. A victory for Oliveira would signal a potential shift in the meta or player dynamics, making him a more credible threat in future matches.
No comments yet. Be the first to share your forecast thesis.
StarCraft II: TY vs Oliveira - Map 3 Winner is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 50%.
ORYN aggregates forecasting intelligence across Asia-focused categories including crypto, AI, cricket, startups, and global events.
