This market refers to the StarCraft II Semifinal 2 match between TY and Oliveira in the Douyu Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 28 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "TY" if TY win Map 1 against Oliveira. This market will resolve to "Oliveira" if Oliveira win Map 1 against TY. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/starcraft2/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/starcraft2/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Key risk: Match delay or cancellation due to unforeseen circumstances
AI updated 6/27/2026, 2:47:44 PM
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
This market refers to the StarCraft II Semifinal 2 match between TY and Oliveira in the Douyu Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 28 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "TY" if TY win Map 1 against Oliveira. This market will resolve to "Oliveira" if Oliveira win Map 1 against TY. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/starcraft2/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/starcraft2/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The market reflects a highly uncertain matchup between TY and Oliveira in the StarCraft II Douyu Cup Semifinals, with no clear favorite as of the scheduled start time. The 50% probability suggests balanced expectations, with no dominant player advantage evident in recent performances.
TY holds a historical edge over Oliveira in head-to-head StarCraft II matchups, particularly on Map 1 of major tournaments, where his macro and late-game execution are statistically stronger. Oliveira's recent form shows inconsistency, and TY's recent tournament wins (e.g., IEM Katowice 2024) suggest peak performance could favor him.
Oliveira's aggressive playstyle and map pool versatility could exploit TY's potential weaknesses in early-game pressure or specific map dynamics. Oliveira's recent upsets (e.g., beating Serral in a Bo5) indicate he can disrupt favored opponents, and TY's fatigue from a long playoff run may reduce his edge.
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StarCraft II: TY vs Oliveira - Map 1 Winner is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 50%.
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