Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unexpected_forfeit
Calibrated 100% · raw 3600% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/28/2026, 10:15:53 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
48%
ORYN Consensus
12%
Signal Score
-36.0
Opportunity
30.6
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,073,491
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -3600.0¢
Entry: 45-51
—
Resolution
1h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
5 points
This market refers to the StarCraft II Grand final match between Scarlett and Oliveira in the Douyu Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 28 at 5:35AM ET. This market will resolve to "Scarlett" if Scarlett win the match against Oliveira. This market will resolve to "Oliveira" if Oliveira win the match against Scarlett. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/starcraft2/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/starcraft2/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the StarCraft II Grand Final between Scarlett and Oliveira in the Douyu Cup Playoffs shows a low probability (12%) for Scarlett to win the BO7 match. The outcome is highly uncertain due to the competitive nature of the match and potential external factors.
Scarlett wins due to superior strategy execution, stronger late-game adaptability, or Oliveira's fatigue from prior matches. A dominant performance in early games could sway the market in her favor.
Oliveira wins due to tactical innovation, better map control, or Scarlett's inconsistency in high-pressure scenarios. A strong opening series by Oliveira could lead to market reassessment.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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