This market refers to the StarCraft II Quarterfinal 4 match between Oliveira and Cyan in the Douyu Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 27 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if Oliveira and Cyan play 4 or more maps in this series. If fewer than 4 maps are played, this market will resolve to "Under". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the total, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/starcraft2/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/starcraft2/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Key risk: Match cancellation or delay beyond resolution thresholds
AI updated 6/26/2026, 9:18:17 PM
This market refers to the StarCraft II Quarterfinal 4 match between Oliveira and Cyan in the Douyu Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 27 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if Oliveira and Cyan play 4 or more maps in this series. If fewer than 4 maps are played, this market will resolve to "Under". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the total, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/starcraft2/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/starcraft2/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The prediction market for the StarCraft II Quarterfinal 4 match between Oliveira and Cyan in the Douyu Cup Playoffs has an equal probability (50%) of resolving to 'Over' or 'Under' for a total of 3.5 maps. The outcome depends on the number of maps played in the series, with resolution criteria including forfeits, disqualifications, and match cancellations.
The 'Over' scenario is supported by the potential for a highly competitive series where both players push for map wins, leading to a best-of-7 or extended series. Historical best-of-7 series in StarCraft II often exceed 3.5 maps, and Oliveira and Cyan are known for their aggressive playstyles, which could prolong the match.
The 'Under' scenario is plausible if the match concludes quickly, either due to a dominant performance by one player or a forfeit/default. StarCraft II series can sometimes end in fewer than 4 maps, especially in high-stakes playoff matches where players aim to conserve energy or avoid unnecessary risks.
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Games Total: O/U 3.5 is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 50%.
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