Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Earnings miss or weak guidance
Calibrated 100% · raw 4675% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/26/2026, 1:38:47 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 22% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
3%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
+46.8
Opportunity
28.1
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 4675.0¢
Entry: 0-6
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
9
Price history
12 points
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/PLTR/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Palantir (PLTR) finishing the week of June 22 above $123 is evenly split, reflecting high uncertainty. The outcome hinges on near-term stock performance, macroeconomic factors, and company-specific developments.
PLTR could exceed $123 if it benefits from strong Q2 earnings, continued AI contract wins, or broader tech sector momentum. Positive sentiment around defense contracts or enterprise AI adoption may also drive the price higher.
PLTR may fail to surpass $123 if macroeconomic headwinds (e.g., recession fears, interest rate hikes) dampen tech stocks. Weak earnings guidance, regulatory risks, or competitive pressures in AI could also weigh on the price.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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