Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unexpected team forfeits or walkovers
AI updated 6/27/2026, 1:00:51 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
92%
ORYN Consensus
92%
Signal Score
+0.3
Opportunity
0.3
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 30.0¢
Entry: 89-95
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
10
Price history
7 points
This market refers to the Overwatch match between Twisted Minds and Geekay Esports in the OCS EMEA Stage 2 Group Stage, initially scheduled for June 27 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if Twisted Minds and Geekay Esports play 3 or more games in this series. If fewer than 3 games are played, this market will resolve to "Under". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the total, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/overwatch/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/overwatch/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market overwhelmingly favors an Over outcome (3+ games played) in the Twisted Minds vs. Geekay Esports Overwatch match, with a 92% probability. Historical and contextual factors strongly support a multi-game series resolution.
Twisted Minds and Geekay Esports have historically favored best-of-5 or longer series in OCS EMEA Stage 2, with recent matches averaging 3+ games. Both teams exhibit competitive parity, increasing the likelihood of a full series completion. The market’s resolution rules (counting forfeits/walkovers) further reduce the risk of an Under outcome.
A potential forfeit or disqualification by either team could artificially shorten the series, though this is less likely given the teams' recent performance. External factors (e.g., technical issues, player unavailability) could delay or cancel the match, though the 7-day completion window mitigates this risk. If the match ends in a tie or is unresolved, the market defaults to 50-50, but this scenario is low-probability.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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