Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_cancellation_or_delay
Calibrated 100% · raw 500% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/29/2026, 11:30:34 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
6%
ORYN Consensus
11%
Signal Score
+5.0
Opportunity
4.3
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,684,904
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 500.0¢
Entry: 2-8
—
Resolution
15h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
9 points
This market refers to the Overwatch Grand final match between MURASH GAMING and VARREL in the OCS Japan Stage 2 Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 30 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "MURASH GAMING" if MURASH GAMING win the match against VARREL. This market will resolve to "VARREL" if VARREL win the match against MURASH GAMING. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/overwatch/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/overwatch/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market predicts a 10.50% chance that MURASH GAMING will defeat VARREL in the OCS Japan Stage 2 Playoffs BO4 final. VARREL is favored to win based on current odds, with resolution dependent on official match outcomes or credible reporting.
MURASH GAMING could win due to strong team synergy, recent form, or VARREL underestimating their strategic adaptability. A dominant performance in key maps (e.g., King's Row, Nepal) or clutch play in overtime rounds could swing the odds in their favor.
VARREL is likely favored given higher market probability, with potential advantages in roster depth, coaching, or recent tournament performances. MURASH GAMING may struggle against VARREL's meta strategies or star players.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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