Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_cancellation_or_delay_beyond_7_days
Calibrated 100% · raw 495% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/27/2026, 7:45:50 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 22% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
5%
Signal Score
+5.0
Opportunity
4.9
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 495.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
9
Price history
8 points
This market refers to the Overwatch match between Cheeseburger and Falcons in the OCS Korea Stage 2 Group Stage, initially scheduled for June 27 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Cheeseburger" if Cheeseburger win Game 1 against Falcons. This market will resolve to "Falcons" if Falcons win Game 1 against Cheeseburger. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/overwatch/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/overwatch/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Overwatch match between Cheeseburger and Falcons in OCS Korea Stage 2 Group Stage Game 1 shows an extremely low probability (0.05%) for either team to win, indicating near-certainty of non-resolution due to match cancellation or delay.
Cheeseburger wins Game 1, demonstrating superior team synergy, individual skill, or strategic adaptability against Falcons, potentially due to Falcons' recent underperformance or roster changes.
Falcons win Game 1, leveraging stronger meta-adaptation, veteran experience, or Cheeseburger's potential roster weaknesses, leading to a dominant performance in the early game.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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