Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: injury_to_key_players
AI updated 6/28/2026, 2:03:11 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
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ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,127,852
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
13d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming NWSL game between North Carolina Courage and Washington Spirit, scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "North Carolina Courage" if North Carolina Courage score more goals than Washington Spirit in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if North Carolina Courage and Washington Spirit score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Washington Spirit" if Washington Spirit score more goals than North Carolina Courage in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for a second-half draw in the North Carolina Courage vs. Washington Spirit NWSL match on July 11, 2026, is evenly split at 50%, indicating no clear favorite. The outcome hinges solely on second-half goals, excluding first-half or extra-time results.
The Courage's offensive strength and home advantage could favor a second-half draw, especially if the Spirit's defense struggles to contain their attacks. Historical second-half trends or tactical adjustments mid-game may also support a draw outcome.
The Spirit's resilience and counterattacking ability might outweigh the Courage's home advantage, leading to a draw if both teams equalize in the second half. Past head-to-head results or fatigue could also reduce scoring opportunities.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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