Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Game postponement or cancellation due to external factors (e.g., weather, league decisions)
Calibrated 100% · raw 350% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 7/2/2026, 5:45:42 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 27% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
63%
ORYN Consensus
66%
Signal Score
+3.5
Opportunity
2.5
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
3,272,170
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 350.0¢
Entry: 60-66
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
1
Price history
28 points
In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for July 5 at 1:00AM ET: If the Orix Buffaloes win, the market will resolve to "Orix Buffaloes". If the Saitama Seibu Lions win, the market will resolve to "Saitama Seibu Lions". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market currently favors the Orix Buffaloes with a 66% probability of winning against the Saitama Seibu Lions in the NPB game on July 5. The market remains open if the game is postponed or canceled, with a 50-50 resolution in case of a tie or cancellation without a makeup game.
The Orix Buffaloes benefit from strong recent form, home-field advantage (if applicable), and key player availability. Historical data shows they have a slight edge in head-to-head matchups against the Seibu Lions, supporting their higher probability.
The Saitama Seibu Lions may have underestimated potential due to underdog dynamics or recent upsets in similar matchups. External factors like weather conditions or last-minute roster changes could also favor the Lions, though these are less likely given the current market trend.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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