Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: late-game substitutions altering momentum
AI updated 6/28/2026, 4:15:42 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
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| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
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ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,149,880
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
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MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
12d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming Norway Eliteserien game between Tromsø IL and Vålerenga Fotball, scheduled for July 11 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Tromsø IL and Vålerenga Fotball combine to score 1 or more goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the combined second-half total is less than 1 goals, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Tromsø IL vs. Vålerenga Fotball's second-half O/U 0.5 goals is balanced, with a 50% probability. The outcome hinges on second-half scoring dynamics, excluding first-half or extra-time goals.
A bullish scenario favors an over outcome if both teams, particularly Vålerenga Fotball (historically higher-scoring in second halves), apply offensive pressure. Tromsø IL's recent 2-1 win over Vålerenga suggests potential for continued second-half goals.
A bearish outcome is plausible if defensive tactics dominate, such as tactical fouls or low-risk play to preserve leads. Tromsø IL's recent clean sheets (4 in last 6 games) and Vålerenga's inconsistent second-half scoring (only 1 goal in last 3 second halves) support an under outcome.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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