Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Postponement or cancellation of the match (market remains open per rules)
AI updated 6/28/2026, 8:00:52 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,238,441
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
13d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming game, scheduled for July 12, 2026 If the game ends in a draw within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market predicts a 50% chance of a draw within the first 45 minutes (plus stoppage time) of the Rosenborg BK vs. Kristiansund BK match on July 12, 2026. This is a neutral probability, reflecting equal likelihood of either outcome based on current data.
A draw at halftime is plausible given both teams' recent form. Rosenborg BK has shown defensive resilience in early matches, while Kristiansund BK often starts conservatively. Historical head-to-head data suggests balanced early-game dynamics.
The market could trend downward if either team shows strong early attacking intent. Rosenborg BK's offensive potential or Kristiansund BK's pressing style might reduce the likelihood of a halftime draw. External factors like weather or referee decisions could also skew results.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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