Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Postponement or cancellation of the match due to external factors (e.g., weather, logistical issues)
Calibrated 100% · raw 200% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/28/2026, 8:01:11 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
52%
Signal Score
+2.0
Opportunity
1.3
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,240,196
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 200.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
13d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming match between Rosenborg BK and Kristiansund BK, scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Rosenborg BK" if Rosenborg BK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Kristiansund BK" if Kristiansund BK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Kristiansund BK to score first against Rosenborg BK is evenly balanced at 50.00%, reflecting no clear favorite in the first 90 minutes of play. The outcome hinges on early match dynamics, with neither team holding a significant historical or statistical advantage in first-goal scenarios.
Kristiansund BK could capitalize on Rosenborg BK's potential defensive lapses or counterattacking opportunities, especially if Rosenborg's high-pressing style leaves gaps in their backline. A strong home advantage or tactical setup by Kristiansund's management may also favor their chances of scoring first.
Rosenborg BK's superior attacking prowess and historical dominance in Norwegian football may outweigh Kristiansund's chances, particularly if they dictate the tempo from the outset. Defensively solid teams often concede fewer early goals, favoring Rosenborg in this scenario.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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