Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Postponement or cancellation due to unforeseen events (e.g., severe weather, safety concerns)
AI updated 6/28/2026, 8:00:34 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
51%
Signal Score
+1.0
Opportunity
0.7
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,238,441
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 100.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
13d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming game, scheduled for July 12, 2026 If the game ends in a draw within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for a draw at halftime in the KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. FK Bodø/Glimt match on July 12, 2026, currently stands at 50.00%, indicating a balanced expectation of either outcome. The neutral probability reflects the lack of clear dominance in historical or contextual team performance trends.
FK Bodø/Glimt's strong offensive and defensive record this season (top 3 in Eliteserien) suggests a high likelihood of controlling possession and creating scoring opportunities, which could lead to a halftime draw. KFUM-Kameratene Oslo's recent form, while improved, may struggle to break down Bodø/Glimt's disciplined defense early in the match.
KFUM-Kameratene Oslo's home advantage and aggressive style could disrupt Bodø/Glimt's rhythm, leading to early goals or defensive errors that prevent a draw at halftime. Bodø/Glimt's away form has been less consistent, and fatigue from European fixtures could reduce their early-match intensity.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
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