Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Weather conditions or pitch quality affecting play
Calibrated 100% · raw 200% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/28/2026, 4:16:27 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
52%
Signal Score
+2.0
Opportunity
1.3
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,149,555
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 200.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
12d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming Norway Eliteserien game between Aalesunds FK and Molde FK, scheduled for July 11 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Aalesunds FK and Molde FK each score at least one goal during the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if either team fails to score in the second half (i.e., if one or both teams finish the second half with zero goals). If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for 'Both Teams to Score in Second Half' between Aalesunds FK and Molde FK is neutral at 50%, indicating no clear bias toward either outcome. The match's context and historical data do not strongly favor a definitive resolution.
Molde FK, a top-tier team with strong offensive capabilities, may capitalize on Aalesunds FK's defensive vulnerabilities in the second half, leading to both teams scoring. Molde's recent form and attacking players could tilt the odds toward 'Yes.'
Aalesunds FK's defensive record and Molde FK's inconsistency in second-half performances may result in one or both teams failing to score in the second half. A low-scoring or defensive tactical approach could favor the 'No' outcome.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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