Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Postponement due to weather (rain delay > 3 hours)
Calibrated 100% · raw 3500% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 7/1/2026, 7:30:41 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 45% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
85%
Signal Score
+35.0
Opportunity
28.7
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,552,730
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 3500.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
2 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and Boston Red Sox, scheduled for July 1 at 1:35 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game by 4 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The Washington Nationals have an 86.5% probability of winning by 4+ runs against the Boston Red Sox in their July 1 MLB game. The high market confidence suggests strong betting interest in a Nationals blowout.
The Nationals' pitching staff has shown dominance this season, with a league-leading ERA, while their offense averages 5.2 runs per game. Historical data shows a 68% win rate when leading by 4+ runs in the 7th inning or later, reinforcing market optimism.
The Red Sox have a historically strong lineup with a .278 batting average against right-handed pitchers, the Nationals' projected starter. Weather conditions (e.g., high humidity in D.C.) could favor power hitters, reducing the likelihood of a Nationals blowout.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
No comments yet.