Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Game postponement or cancellation due to unforeseen circumstances
AI updated 6/30/2026, 7:18:37 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,116,966
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
17h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and Boston Red Sox, scheduled for July 1 at 1:35 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Washington Nationals and Boston Red Sox combine to score 7 or more runs by the conclusion of the 5th inning. If the combined total is less than 7, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox 1st 5 Innings Over/Under 6.5 runs is evenly split, indicating no clear consensus on whether the combined score will exceed 6.5 runs by the 5th inning. The 50% probability reflects balanced expectations between offensive potential and pitching performance.
The Nationals and Red Sox boast strong offensive lineups with high-scoring potential, particularly with key hitters like Juan Soto and Rafael Devers in form. Weather conditions and pitcher fatigue could lead to early-game scoring surges, favoring the 'Over' outcome.
Both teams have reliable pitching staffs capable of suppressing runs early, with starters like Max Scherzer and Chris Sale likely to limit scoring through the 5th inning. Low-scoring games or early pitching changes could push the total below 6.5.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
No direct venue links for this market. ORYN exclusive markets are intelligence-only.
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