Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Game postponement/cancellation due to weather
AI updated 7/1/2026, 8:00:31 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 47% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
40%
ORYN Consensus
39%
Signal Score
-0.5
Opportunity
0.3
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,308,899
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV -50.0¢
Entry: 36-43
—
Resolution
6h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
12 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and Boston Red Sox, scheduled for July 1 at 1:35 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox is winning the game by 2 or more runs at the conclusion of the 5th inning. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Washington Nationals". If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to "Washington Nationals". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market favors the Washington Nationals to lead or tie the Boston Red Sox after the first 5 innings, with a 61% implied probability (100% - 39% market probability). The Red Sox's -1.5 spread suggests low confidence in their early-game dominance.
The Boston Red Sox could exceed expectations if their starting pitcher performs exceptionally well, their offense generates early runs, or the Nationals' lineup struggles against Boston's pitching staff. A strong bullpen entering the game could also contribute to a 2+ run lead by the 5th inning.
The Washington Nationals have a higher probability of leading or tying due to Boston's inconsistent early-season performance, potential bullpen vulnerabilities, or Nationals' home-field advantage. Weather conditions or umpire bias could also disrupt Boston's early-game strategy.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
No comments yet.