Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Early removal due to injury or poor performance, resulting in an 'Under' resolution.
AI updated 6/30/2026, 7:02:51 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| gemini | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 46% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,834,580
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
13h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and Boston Red Sox, scheduled for June 30 at 7:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Connelly Early records more than 3.5 strikeouts during the game. This market will resolve to "Under" if Connelly Early records less than 3.5 strikeouts during the game. The entire game including all extra innings will be considered. If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not take the field at any point, the market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
This market assesses whether Washington Nationals pitcher Connelly Early will record more or less than 3.5 strikeouts against the Boston Red Sox. The current market probability stands at 50%, indicating an even split in expectations for Early to hit the 'Over' or 'Under' on this prop bet. Resolution depends on official MLB statistics, with specific rules for inactivity, postponement, or cancellation.
Early could exceed 3.5 strikeouts if he pitches deep into the game, maintaining good command and velocity. The Red Sox lineup might have a higher strikeout rate against specific pitch types Early utilizes, or against right-handed pitchers in general. A strong performance early in the game could build confidence and lead to more aggressive strikeout attempts.
Connelly Early might fall short of 3.5 strikeouts if he has a short outing due to pitch count limits, effectiveness issues, or an early removal by the manager. The Boston Red Sox lineup could be disciplined at the plate, making frequent contact and avoiding strikeouts. An early deficit or a strong Red Sox offensive performance could also lead to Early's premature exit.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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