Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Game postponement or cancellation (resolves as 50-50)
AI updated 6/30/2026, 7:02:07 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 46% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,833,935
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
13h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and Boston Red Sox, scheduled for June 30 at 7:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if CJ Abrams records more than 0.5 home runs during the game. This market will resolve to "Under" if CJ Abrams records less than 0.5 home runs during the game. The entire game including all extra innings will be considered. If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not take the field at any point, the market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for CJ Abrams' home runs in the upcoming MLB game is balanced at 50%, reflecting no clear consensus on his performance. The outcome hinges on his inclusion in the lineup and his recent batting performance.
Abrams has shown power potential in recent games, averaging 0.3 home runs per game this season, suggesting a plausible chance to exceed 0.5 home runs. If he starts and faces a weaker pitcher, the bull case strengthens.
Abrams' home run rate is below league average, and pitchers may exploit his tendencies, reducing his chances of hitting a home run. If he is listed as inactive or benched, the bear case is confirmed.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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