Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Game postponement or cancellation (resolution ambiguity)
AI updated 6/29/2026, 11:45:42 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,746,792
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and Boston Red Sox, scheduled for June 29 at 7:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Washington Nationals and Boston Red Sox combine to score 13 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 13, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox game O/U 12.5 runs is currently at 50% probability, indicating a balanced expectation between over and under outcomes. The neutral starting point reflects uncertainty due to the high variability in MLB game scoring.
The bull case assumes a high-scoring offensive game, with both teams featuring strong batting lineups or favorable pitching matchups that could lead to a combined total of 13+ runs. Factors like favorable weather, home-field advantage for Boston (higher-scoring team historically), or pitcher fatigue could contribute.
The bear case anticipates a low-scoring, pitcher-dominated game where both teams struggle to generate offense, resulting in a combined total below 13 runs. This could be driven by strong starting pitchers, poor weather conditions, or defensive-heavy strategies from either team.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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