Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Game postponement due to weather or unforeseen events
AI updated 6/28/2026, 9:17:28 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,280,704
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
22h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and Boston Red Sox, scheduled for June 29 at 7:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Washington Nationals". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Washington Nationals". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The Boston Red Sox (-1.5) spread market reflects a balanced expectation of a narrow victory for the Red Sox, with a 50% probability assigned by the prediction market. The outcome hinges on a margin of 2+ runs, making the game highly sensitive to early or late-game scoring dynamics.
The bull case assumes the Red Sox's offensive lineup (e.g., Rafael Devers, Xander Bogaerts) capitalizes on Nationals' pitching weaknesses (e.g., Patrick Corbin's recent struggles) to exceed the run spread. Bullish momentum could also stem from a strong bullpen performance in late innings, securing the 2+ run margin.
The bear case anticipates a tightly contested game where the Nationals' pitching (e.g., Josiah Gray) and defense neutralize the Red Sox's offense, resulting in a margin of 1 run or fewer. Late-game errors or bullpen collapses could also push the resolution toward Washington.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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