Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Postponement or cancellation of the game due to weather or other unforeseen events
AI updated 6/28/2026, 9:17:53 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,281,749
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
22h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and Boston Red Sox, scheduled for June 29 at 7:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Washington Nationals and Boston Red Sox combine to score 5 or more runs by the conclusion of the 5th inning. If the combined total is less than 5, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox 1st 5 Innings Over/Under 4.5 runs is evenly split, indicating no clear favorite. The market reflects balanced expectations with no significant bias toward Over or Under.
The bull case assumes high-scoring offense from both teams, with strong hitting performances from key players like Juan Soto (Nationals) or Rafael Devers (Red Sox) driving runs early. A pitcher-friendly matchup is less likely, as both teams have struggled with pitching consistency this season.
The bear case suggests a low-scoring game due to dominant starting pitching from both teams, such as Nationals' ace Max Scherzer or Red Sox's Chris Sale, who could limit runs through the 5th inning. Weather conditions or early defensive errors might also suppress scoring.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
No comments yet.