Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: postponement_due_to_weather
AI updated 6/28/2026, 9:17:47 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,281,404
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
22h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and Boston Red Sox, scheduled for June 29 at 7:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Washington Nationals and Boston Red Sox combine to score 4 or more runs by the conclusion of the 5th inning. If the combined total is less than 4, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox 1st 5 Innings Over/Under 3.5 runs is currently at 50%, indicating a balanced expectation with no clear bias toward either outcome. The neutral starting point reflects the inherent uncertainty in baseball scoring dynamics over a short inning window.
Offensive firepower from both teams' lineups, particularly Boston's high-scoring tendencies and Washington's recent power surge, could push the total over 3.5 runs by the 5th inning. Potential for early-game home runs or aggressive baserunning may inflate the score before defensive adjustments occur.
Strong starting pitching from either team, coupled with effective bullpen management and defensive plays, could suppress scoring below 3.5 runs by the 5th inning. Pitching duels or cold offensive streaks in early innings may limit run production despite both teams' offensive reputations.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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