Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Postponement or cancellation due to weather/other disruptions
Calibrated 100% · raw 1050% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/29/2026, 8:16:59 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
40%
Signal Score
-10.5
Opportunity
6.8
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,665,190
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -1050.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
17 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and Boston Red Sox, scheduled for June 29 at 7:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox is winning the game by 3 or more runs at the conclusion of the 5th inning. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Washington Nationals". If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to "Washington Nationals". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The 1st 5 Innings Spread market favors the Washington Nationals with a 39.5% probability of Boston Red Sox winning by 3+ runs after 5 innings, reflecting moderate confidence in the Nationals' defensive or offensive balance against the Red Sox.
Boston Red Sox could dominate early innings due to strong starting pitching, high-run scoring potential, or Nationals' defensive lapses, leading to a 3+ run lead by the 5th inning. Historical trends of Red Sox's aggressive batting or Nationals' inconsistent starts support this scenario.
Washington Nationals may leverage strong bullpen performance, Red Sox's bullpen struggles, or timely hitting to keep the game within 2 runs, resulting in a Nationals win by default (tied or trailing). Nationals' resilience in early innings or Red Sox's fatigue could drive this outcome.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
No direct venue links for this market. ORYN exclusive markets are intelligence-only.
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