Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unpredictable weather conditions
AI updated 6/28/2026, 6:00:54 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,216,921
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for June 28 at 1:35 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game by 3 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Washington Nationals". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Washington Nationals". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Baltimore Orioles (-2.5) spread indicates a balanced outlook, with a 50% probability assigned to the Orioles winning by 3+ runs. The market reflects uncertainty given the close odds and the potential for game outcomes to hinge on performance dynamics.
The Orioles could win decisively if their pitching staff suppresses the Nationals' offense or if their batting lineup outperforms expectations. A strong bullpen performance in late innings could also secure a 3+ run margin. Home advantage (if applicable) may slightly favor the Orioles.
The Nationals could prevent a 3+ run loss if their offense capitalizes on Orioles pitching errors or if the Orioles' offense struggles against Nationals pitching. Weather conditions or late-game defensive lapses could also reduce the margin. Away team disadvantage may weigh on the Orioles.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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