In the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for June 28 at 1:35 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals is winning the game by 2 or more runs at the conclusion of the 5th inning. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles". If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Key risk: Game postponement or cancellation
AI updated 6/27/2026, 6:17:41 PM
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
In the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for June 28 at 1:35 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals is winning the game by 2 or more runs at the conclusion of the 5th inning. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles". If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The market for the 1st 5 innings spread in the Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore Orioles game is evenly split at 50%, indicating high uncertainty about the outcome by the 5th inning. The resolution hinges on the Nationals leading by 2+ runs or the Orioles leading/tieing.
The Nationals could dominate early, leveraging strong starting pitching or offensive firepower to build a 2+ run lead by the 5th inning. Historical data shows the Nationals often perform well in early innings under home conditions. A bullish scenario also assumes the Orioles struggle with left-handed pitching or lack clutch hitting.
The Orioles may start strong, exploiting Nationals' bullpen vulnerabilities or capitalizing on home-field advantage in early innings. The Nationals' offense could sputter against Orioles' starting pitcher, or key injuries may limit their offensive output. Poor defensive plays or early pitching collapses could swing momentum.
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1st 5 Innings Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5) is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 50%.
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