Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: game postponement or cancellation
AI updated 6/27/2026, 12:45:34 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 22% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
0%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
11
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for June 26 at 7:05 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Washington Nationals and Baltimore Orioles combine to score 4 or more runs by the conclusion of the 5th inning. If the combined total is less than 4, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore Orioles 1st 5 innings over/under 3.5 runs shows an extremely low probability (0.05%) of the combined score exceeding 3.5 runs by the 5th inning, indicating strong market expectation for a low-scoring game.
A bullish outcome would require offensive production from both teams, such as multiple home runs, aggressive base running, or strong starting pitching allowing high run production. Weather conditions or favorable matchups could also contribute to a higher-scoring game.
A bearish outcome is supported by strong starting pitching from both teams, defensive dominance, or unfavorable weather conditions (e.g., cold temperatures or heavy rain) suppressing offensive output. Low-scoring games are statistically common in MLB, especially in divisional matchups.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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