Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury to a key Rangers batter before the game
Calibrated 100% · raw 150% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/30/2026, 4:45:21 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 44% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
24%
ORYN Consensus
22%
Signal Score
-1.5
Opportunity
1.2
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,803,418
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -150.0¢
Entry: 20-26
—
Resolution
14h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
4 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Texas Rangers and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for June 30 at 6:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Texas Rangers" if the Texas Rangers is winning the game by 3 or more runs at the conclusion of the 5th inning. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians". If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The Texas Rangers have a 22% chance to lead by 3+ runs after the first 5 innings against the Cleveland Guardians. The market favors Cleveland, likely due to the Guardians' strong pitching and defensive performance in recent matchups.
The Rangers' offensive firepower, led by core hitters like Marcus Semien and Corey Seager, could overpower Cleveland's pitching staff early, especially if they start strong. Home-field advantage in Arlington may also boost their early performance.
The Guardians' rotation, featuring high-velocity arms like Shane Bieber, often stifles opponents early, reducing the Rangers' chances of a 3-run lead. Cleveland's bullpen depth and defensive reliability make late-inning comebacks more plausible.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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