Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Weather conditions affecting gameplay
AI updated 7/2/2026, 12:45:25 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 38% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
63%
ORYN Consensus
63%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,656,524
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 60-66
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
3 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for July 1 at 7:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game by 4 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The Tampa Bay Rays are favored to cover the -3.5 run spread against the Kansas City Royals with a 62.5% market probability. The outcome hinges on the Rays winning by 4+ runs, as a tie or smaller margin would result in a Royals win.
The Rays have a strong offense with elite power hitters and a deep pitching rotation, which could allow them to outscore the Royals by 4+ runs. Their recent performance against similar opponents suggests they can maintain high run production.
The Royals' pitching staff has shown resilience this season, and their bullpen could limit late-game damage, making it difficult for the Rays to exceed a 3-run margin. Road performance may also favor the Royals in this matchup.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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