Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: game postponement or cancellation
AI updated 6/30/2026, 7:18:47 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,115,726
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
23h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for July 1 at 7:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Tampa Bay Rays and Kansas City Royals combine to score 3 or more runs by the conclusion of the 5th inning. If the combined total is less than 3, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals 1st 5 Innings Over/Under 2.5 runs is currently at 50%, indicating a balanced expectation with equal probability for both outcomes. The neutral starting point reflects the uncertainty in early-game scoring dynamics between the two teams.
The Rays' high-scoring offense and the Royals' inconsistent pitching could lead to a higher run total. Tampa Bay ranks in the top half of MLB for runs per game, while Kansas City has struggled with defensive lapses and bullpen reliability, potentially increasing the likelihood of an 'Over' outcome.
The Royals' improved pitching staff and the Rays' tendency to start slow in games may suppress early run production. Kansas City's starting pitcher has a strong ERA, and Tampa Bay's lineup may lack early momentum, favoring an 'Under' resolution.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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