Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury or last-minute lineup changes
AI updated 6/30/2026, 7:01:10 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 46% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,833,935
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
14h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for June 30 at 7:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Jonny DeLuca records more than 0.5 home runs during the game. This market will resolve to "Under" if Jonny DeLuca records less than 0.5 home runs during the game. The entire game including all extra innings will be considered. If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not take the field at any point, the market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Jonny DeLuca's home runs in the upcoming MLB game is evenly split, with a 50% probability for both over and under 0.5 home runs. The outcome hinges on DeLuca's in-game participation and performance, given his current role and statistical trends.
DeLuca could exceed 0.5 home runs if he plays a key role in the lineup, capitalizing on favorable pitcher matchups or ballpark factors (e.g., Tropicana Field's pitcher-friendly conditions). A strong recent performance or high leverage in the lineup increases the likelihood of a home run.
DeLuca may record fewer than 0.5 home runs if he is left out of the starting lineup, faces tough pitching, or is used in a defensive-only role. His historical home run rate (if below 0.5 per game) or platoon status further reduces the probability.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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